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June 19, 2009
Risky analysis
Bruce Sterling Schneier has a good article on the dangers of risk analysis when estimating software projects - and, by extension, estimating the risk of terrorist attacks.
It is the everyday risks that kill you - largely because the effect is delayed and the risk itself not very visible. I seem to remember someone proposing that the way to get responsible driving would be not to increase the safety level of the car, but instead decrease it - for instance by outlawing seat belts and mandating a four inch sharp metal spike placed in the middle of the steering wheel.
If too much imagination can make us overly risk-averse, a heavy dose of reality might have the opposite effect.
Posted by Espen at June 19, 2009 1:10 PM
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Comments
Interesting article, but I think you've made him the wrong Bruce :-)
Posted by: Jorunn at June 20, 2009 9:14 AM
Of course, thanks for the pointer. Fixed.
Posted by: Espen ![[TypeKey Profile Page]](http://www.espen.com/weblog/nav-commenters.gif)
at June 20, 2009 10:54 AM